Forecasts · games, elections and seasons

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Elections and seasons

Games in the next days

Times in your own time zone. Model is the latest forecast. Forecasts start up to 14 days out and are re-taken at fixed points (7, 3 and 1 days and 1 hour before) and whenever new information changes them; every entry is kept, never revised. Cricket adds a last forecast at the toss, once both elevens are named. The path shows the model (line) and Kalshi at each entry (dots); hover for the history. Kalshi and Polymarket are the latest snapshot prices (bid/ask midpoint) for the same side.

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