Forecasts

Model forecasts built from public data. Each page states the date it was made; nothing updates on its own.

All forecasts

Forecast date Thursday 8 October 2026

Upcoming predictions

Every upcoming forecast on one page: NBA, NFL, rugby league and cricket games beside the Kalshi and Polymarket prices, the Victorian election and the NBA season, with recent results.

Basketball

Forecast date Wednesday 7 October 2026

NBA 2026–27 season outlook

Win totals, offence and defence ranks, seeding odds and games-played forecasts for every team, against the Kalshi win-total markets; luck and player WAR.

Elections

Forecast date Wednesday 7 October 2026

Victorian election 2026: seat-by-seat forecast

All 88 Legislative Assembly seats for 28 November 2026: maps, win probabilities, seat counts, the Kalshi markets and how the model did in 2018 and 2022.